Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.722044 2.147943 2.705942 3.514522 4.700195 6.454601e+00 9.422754
2025-02-02 1.221200 1.697302 2.432869 3.746034 6.286975 1.175535e+01 28.021749
2025-02-09 0.932645 1.381985 2.150734 3.731583 7.514633 1.899071e+01 88.643946
2025-02-16 0.745304 1.150589 1.892144 3.575947 8.321063 2.795687e+01 345.002650
2025-02-23 0.644355 1.032578 1.788802 3.680997 10.027491 4.893501e+01 11182.095370
2025-03-02 0.578024 0.957810 1.741269 3.893482 12.560440 1.015243e+02 NaN
2025-03-09 0.514786 0.873552 1.645007 3.918883 14.554842 2.030510e+02 NaN
2025-03-16 0.453482 0.780929 1.503582 3.732614 15.287737 3.459874e+02 NaN
2025-03-23 0.422409 0.744115 1.483515 3.937179 19.122979 1.470636e+03 NaN
2025-03-30 0.389334 0.697127 1.425769 3.980399 22.244752 1.182804e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 0.355422 0.643113 1.337358 3.861912 23.845273 1.109060e+06 NaN
2025-04-13 0.327618 0.598775 1.265318 3.777486 25.864143 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.317348 0.592985 1.299082 4.188870 37.279869 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.303513 0.577013 1.300892 4.471019 50.888799 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.284092 0.545181 1.248695 4.449420 59.033099 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.263236 0.507488 1.171476 4.250594 61.173253 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.251246 0.489967 1.153476 4.384069 78.899321 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.242661 0.479731 1.156428 4.655435 114.601015 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.230889 0.460106 1.124714 4.687969 142.853603 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.216208 0.431662 1.058691 4.449815 143.188225 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.209920 0.424095 1.062208 4.711419 223.005039 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.201333 0.409657 1.039254 4.766864 297.962749 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.190951 0.389587 0.993180 4.615007 324.308389 NaN NaN